Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth Global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The forecast for 2023 is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook (WEO) but below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent. The rise incentral bank rates to fight inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to weigh on economic activity. The rapid spread of COVID-19 in China dampened growth in 2022, but the recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery. Global inflation is expected to fall from 8.8 percent in 2022 to 6.6 percent in 2023 and 4.3 percent in 2024, still above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 percent. The balance of risks remains tilted to the downside, but adverse risks have moderated since the October 2022 WEO. On the upside, a stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a faster fall in inflation are plausible. On the downside, severe health outcomes in China could hold back the recovery, Russia’s war in Ukraine could escalate, and tighter global financing conditions could worsen debt distress. Financial markets could also suddenly reprice in response to adverse inflation news, while further geopolitical fragmentation could hamper economic progress. In most economies, amid the cost-of-living crisis, the priority remains achieving sustained disinflation. With tighter monetary conditions and lower growth potentially affecting financial and debt stability, it is necessary to deploy macroprudential tools and strengthen debt restructuring frameworks. Accelerating COVID-19 vaccinations in China would safeguard the recovery, with positive cross-border spillovers. Fiscal support should be better targeted at those most affected by elevated food and energy prices, and broad-based fiscal relief measures should be withdrawn. Stronger multilateral cooperation is essential to preserve the gains from the rules-based multilateral system and to mitigate climate change by limiting emissions and raising green investment. Checkout the full report here: Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth

by Youness El Kandoussi | 3 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 896 Share(s) | Tags :


Introduction:In today's dynamic and interconnected business landscape, operational risk management has become a crucial aspect for organizations across various industries. Morocco, with its thriving economy and growing business ecosystem, is no exception. Effective operational risk management enables businesses to identify potential risks, minimize their impact, and enhance overall performance. This blog will explore the significance of operational risk management in Morocco and how M3T Consulting, a leading consultancy firm, can help businesses navigate these challenges and add value. Understanding Operational Risk Management:Operational risk refers to the potential losses arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, systems, or human factors. These risks can include fraud, system failures, regulatory compliance breaches, supply chain disruptions, and more. Operational risk management involves identifying, assessing, and mitigating these risks to protect an organization's reputation, financial stability, and long-term success. The Importance of Operational Risk Management in Morocco:As Morocco continues to attract both local and international investment, businesses face an array of operational risks. The country's unique socio-political landscape, economic fluctuations, evolving regulatory environment, and technological advancements all contribute to the complexity of managing operational risks. Moreover, with increasing customer expectations, businesses need to ensure uninterrupted service delivery, efficient operations, and safeguard against potential disruptions. How M3T Consulting Adds Value:M3T Consulting is a trusted partner for organizations in Morocco, providing expert guidance and support in operational risk management. Here's how M3T Consulting can add value: 1. Risk Assessment and Identification:M3T Consulting employs a comprehensive approach to assess and identify operational risks tailored to each client's specific industry and organizational context. Their experienced consultants conduct thorough risk assessments, utilizing industry best practices, to identify potential vulnerabilities and areas of improvement. 2. Mitigation Strategies and Controls:After identifying operational risks, M3T Consulting works closely with businesses to develop robust mitigation strategies and implement effective controls. They assist in designing and implementing risk management frameworks, policies, and procedures to address identified risks, ensuring proactive risk management becomes an integral part of the organization's culture. 3. Training and Awareness Programs:M3T Consulting understands that effective risk management requires a well-informed and educated workforce. They offer specialized training programs, workshops, and awareness campaigns to equip employees with the necessary knowledge and skills to identify, assess, and manage operational risks. By fostering risk-awareness within the organization, businesses can enhance their risk mitigation efforts. 4. Regulatory Compliance Support:Keeping up with the evolving regulatory landscape can be challenging for businesses in Morocco. M3T Consulting provides expert guidance on compliance requirements, helping organizations navigate complex regulatory frameworks and ensuring they adhere to industry-specific regulations. By doing so, businesses can minimize regulatory risks and maintain their reputation and credibility. 5. Continuous Monitoring and Improvement:Operational risk management is an ongoing process. M3T Consulting emphasizes the importance of continuous monitoring, evaluation, and improvement. They provide businesses with tools, technologies, and metrics to track and measure risk exposure, enabling proactive decision-making and mitigating potential risks before they escalate. Conclusion:In today's business environment, operational risk management is no longer an option but a necessity. Organizations in Morocco must proactively identify, assess, and mitigate operational risks to ensure long-term success. M3T Consulting's expertise, experience, and comprehensive approach to operational risk management can add significant value to businesses across various sectors. By partnering with M3T Consulting, organizations can strengthen their risk management capabilities, enhance operational resilience, and achieve sustainable growth in the dynamic Moroccan market.

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 931 Share(s) | Tags :


Moroccan financial institutions face a number of challenges in managing their operational risk, audit, and internal controls. These challenges include: The increasing complexity of financial products and services The growing number of regulations and compliance requirements A lack of awareness of operational risk and its impact on the financial institution. Inadequate systems and processes for managing operational risk. The increasing frequency and severity of cyberattacks The shortage of skilled staff Poor coordination between different departments within the financial institution. Here are some statistics: According to a recent study by the World Bank, operational risk costs Moroccan financial institutions an average of 1.5% of their annual revenue. The study also found that Moroccan financial institutions are more likely to experience operational risk events than their counterparts in other countries. A study by the World Bank found that operational risk costs the global financial sector an estimated $200 billion each year. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision estimates that operational risk represents about 70% of the total risk faced by banks. A survey by the Association of Corporate Treasurers found that 60% of financial institutions have experienced an operational incident in the past year. The average cost of an operational incident is $1 million. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® System can help Moroccan financial institutions overcome these challenges by providing: A comprehensive operational risk management framework that is tailored to the specific needs of the institution A team of experienced consultants who can help implement the framework and train staff A state-of-the-art risk management software system called RiskNucleus® These statistics show that operational risk is a major challenge for financial institutions. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® System can help Moroccan financial institutions overcome these challenges and protect their businesses. RiskNucleus® is a in premises software system that helps financial institutions automate their operational risk management processes. The system provides a single view of risk across the entire organization, and it helps institutions to identify, assess, and mitigate risks. Contact M3T Consulting today to learn more about how we can help your institution overcome operational risk challenges. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® have a proven track record of helping financial institutions overcome operational risk challenges. We have helped over 100 institutions in the Middle East, Europe and North Africa region, and we have a team of experienced consultants who can help you implement a comprehensive operational risk management framework. Contact us today to learn more about how we can help your institution.

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 898 Share(s) | Tags :