Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth Global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The forecast for 2023 is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook (WEO) but below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent. The rise incentral bank rates to fight inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to weigh on economic activity. The rapid spread of COVID-19 in China dampened growth in 2022, but the recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery. Global inflation is expected to fall from 8.8 percent in 2022 to 6.6 percent in 2023 and 4.3 percent in 2024, still above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 percent. The balance of risks remains tilted to the downside, but adverse risks have moderated since the October 2022 WEO. On the upside, a stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a faster fall in inflation are plausible. On the downside, severe health outcomes in China could hold back the recovery, Russia’s war in Ukraine could escalate, and tighter global financing conditions could worsen debt distress. Financial markets could also suddenly reprice in response to adverse inflation news, while further geopolitical fragmentation could hamper economic progress. In most economies, amid the cost-of-living crisis, the priority remains achieving sustained disinflation. With tighter monetary conditions and lower growth potentially affecting financial and debt stability, it is necessary to deploy macroprudential tools and strengthen debt restructuring frameworks. Accelerating COVID-19 vaccinations in China would safeguard the recovery, with positive cross-border spillovers. Fiscal support should be better targeted at those most affected by elevated food and energy prices, and broad-based fiscal relief measures should be withdrawn. Stronger multilateral cooperation is essential to preserve the gains from the rules-based multilateral system and to mitigate climate change by limiting emissions and raising green investment. Checkout the full report here: Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 758 Share(s) | Tags :


Moroccan financial institutions face a number of challenges in managing their operational risk, audit, and internal controls. These challenges include: The increasing complexity of financial products and services The growing number of regulations and compliance requirements A lack of awareness of operational risk and its impact on the financial institution. Inadequate systems and processes for managing operational risk. The increasing frequency and severity of cyberattacks The shortage of skilled staff Poor coordination between different departments within the financial institution. Here are some statistics: According to a recent study by the World Bank, operational risk costs Moroccan financial institutions an average of 1.5% of their annual revenue. The study also found that Moroccan financial institutions are more likely to experience operational risk events than their counterparts in other countries. A study by the World Bank found that operational risk costs the global financial sector an estimated $200 billion each year. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision estimates that operational risk represents about 70% of the total risk faced by banks. A survey by the Association of Corporate Treasurers found that 60% of financial institutions have experienced an operational incident in the past year. The average cost of an operational incident is $1 million. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® System can help Moroccan financial institutions overcome these challenges by providing: A comprehensive operational risk management framework that is tailored to the specific needs of the institution A team of experienced consultants who can help implement the framework and train staff A state-of-the-art risk management software system called RiskNucleus® These statistics show that operational risk is a major challenge for financial institutions. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® System can help Moroccan financial institutions overcome these challenges and protect their businesses. RiskNucleus® is a in premises software system that helps financial institutions automate their operational risk management processes. The system provides a single view of risk across the entire organization, and it helps institutions to identify, assess, and mitigate risks. Contact M3T Consulting today to learn more about how we can help your institution overcome operational risk challenges. M3T Consulting and RiskNucleus® have a proven track record of helping financial institutions overcome operational risk challenges. We have helped over 100 institutions in the Middle East, Europe and North Africa region, and we have a team of experienced consultants who can help you implement a comprehensive operational risk management framework. Contact us today to learn more about how we can help your institution.

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 715 Share(s) | Tags :


Operational Risk Governance:Sound Practices for the Management and Supervision of Operational Risk BIS June 2011 The Board of Directors Principle 3: The board of directors should establish, approve and periodically review the Framework. The board of directors should oversee senior management to ensure that the policies, processes and systems are implemented effectively at all decision levels. Principle 4: The board of directors should approve and review a risk appetite and tolerance statement for operational risk that articulates the nature, types, and levels of operational risk that the bank is willing to assume. Senior Management Principle 5: Senior management should develop for approval by the board of directors a clear, effective and robust governance structure with well defined, transparent and consistent lines of responsibility. Senior management is responsible for consistently implementing and maintaining throughout the organisation policies, processes and systems for managing operational risk in all of the bank’s material products, services and activities, consistent with the risk appetite and tolerance. Risk Management Environment Identification and Assessment Principle 6: Senior management should ensure the identification and assessment of the operational risk inherent in all material products, activities, processes and systems to ensure the inherent risks and incentives are well understood. Principle 7: Senior management should ensure that there is an approval process for all new products, activities, processes and systems that fully assesses operational risk. Monitoring and Reporting Principle 8: Senior management should implement a process to regularly monitor operational risk profiles and material exposures to losses. Appropriate reporting mechanisms should be in place at the board, senior management, and business line levels that support proactive management of operational risk. Control and Mitigation Principle 9: Banks should have a strong control environment that utilises: policies, processes and systems; appropriate internal controls; and appropriate risk mitigation and/or transfer strategies. Business Resiliency and Continuity Principle 10: Banks should have business resiliency and continuity plans in place to ensure an ability to operate on an ongoing basis and limit losses in the event of severe business disruption. Role of Disclosure Principle 11: A bank’s public disclosures should allow market participants to assess its approach to operational risk management.

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 834 Share(s) | Tags :