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Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth Global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The forecast for 2023 is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook (WEO) but below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent. The rise incentral bank rates to fight inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to weigh on economic activity. The rapid spread of COVID-19 in China dampened growth in 2022, but the recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery. Global inflation is expected to fall from 8.8 percent in 2022 to 6.6 percent in 2023 and 4.3 percent in 2024, still above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 percent. The balance of risks remains tilted to the downside, but adverse risks have moderated since the October 2022 WEO. On the upside, a stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a faster fall in inflation are plausible. On the downside, severe health outcomes in China could hold back the recovery, Russia’s war in Ukraine could escalate, and tighter global financing conditions could worsen debt distress. Financial markets could also suddenly reprice in response to adverse inflation news, while further geopolitical fragmentation could hamper economic progress. In most economies, amid the cost-of-living crisis, the priority remains achieving sustained disinflation. With tighter monetary conditions and lower growth potentially affecting financial and debt stability, it is necessary to deploy macroprudential tools and strengthen debt restructuring frameworks. Accelerating COVID-19 vaccinations in China would safeguard the recovery, with positive cross-border spillovers. Fiscal support should be better targeted at those most affected by elevated food and energy prices, and broad-based fiscal relief measures should be withdrawn. Stronger multilateral cooperation is essential to preserve the gains from the rules-based multilateral system and to mitigate climate change by limiting emissions and raising green investment. Checkout the full report here: Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth

by Youness El Kandoussi | 3 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 843 Share(s) | Tags :


Dans un march de plus en plus comp titif et impr visible, chaque dirigeant de PME/PMI marocaine doit se poser une question cl : Suis-je prêt à affronter les risques qui peuvent stopper net la croissance de mon entreprise ? Si la r ponse est incertaine, il est temps d'agir. La gestion des risques op rationnels n'est plus un luxe r serv aux grandes entreprises. Au contraire, c’est une n cessit absolue pour toute PME/PMI cherchant à survivre et prosp rer dans un environnement où l’erreur peut coûter cher. Et la bonne nouvelle ? Vous n'avez pas besoin d'un dispositif complexe pour y arriver. Un plan simple et efficace peut transformer votre entreprise. Pourquoi vous devez vous soucier des risques op rationnels maintenant ! Chaque jour, votre entreprise fait face à des risques qui peuvent la d stabiliser : erreurs humaines, d faillances systèmes, retards de production ou encore interruptions dans la chaîne d'approvisionnement. Chaque petit incident peut rapidement devenir un problème majeur. Et pour une PME/PMI, les cons quences peuvent être dramatiques : perte de revenus, r putation ternie, voire la fermeture. Prenons un exemple concret : une petite entreprise de fabrication qui subit r gulièrement des retards dans la livraison de ses matières premières. En quelques mois, cela peut entraîner des annulations de commandes et des clients insatisfaits. Ou encore, imaginez une interruption de votre système informatique : pendant des jours, vos quipes sont incapables de travailler correctement. Vous ne pouvez pas vous permettre de telles failles. Mettre en place un dispositif simplifi : Comment faire ? Vous pensez que la gestion des risques est compliqu e ? D trompez-vous. Il suffit de suivre quelques tapes cl s pour s curiser vos op rations : 1. Identifiez vos risques critiques Prenez un moment pour lister les points n vralgiques de votre entreprise. Qu'est-ce qui pourrait s rieusement perturber vos activit s ? - Exemple concret : Si vous d pendez d’un fournisseur unique, trouvez des alternatives pour ne pas être pris au d pourvu. 2. Évaluez les priorit s Tous les risques ne sont pas gaux. Analysez ceux qui ont le plus d’impact et concentrez-vous sur eux. - Exemple concret : Un incendie est peu probable, mais le coût d’un sinistre est norme. Investissez dans des alarmes et des formations pour y faire face. 3. Mettez en place des solutions imm diates D ployez des contrôles simples mais efficaces pour limiter l'impact des risques. - Exemple concret : Automatisez certaines tâches pour r duire les erreurs humaines dans vos processus de production ou de comptabilit . 4. Formez vos quipes Le facteur humain est votre première ligne de d fense. Assurez-vous que vos employ s sont bien pr par s à r agir face aux impr vus. - Exemple concret : Organisez des formations r gulières pour sensibiliser vos quipes à la s curit et à l'utilisation des outils num riques. 5. Ajustez et am liorez continuellement Votre environnement volue, et vos risques aussi. R valuez r gulièrement vos plans et ajustez-les en fonction des nouvelles menaces. - Exemple concret : Int grez un suivi continu de vos processus avec des audits internes r guliers pour identifier de nouvelles failles. R sultats imm diats : Pourquoi vous devez agir MAINTENANT Un dispositif simplifi de gestion des risques va litt ralement transformer votre PME/PMI. Vous verrez des r sultats concrets : - Des coûts r duits : Fini les pertes inutiles dues à des erreurs vitables ou à des incidents pr visibles. - Des processus plus fluides : Avec des risques mieux g r s, vos op rations seront plus efficaces, vos d lais respect s, vos clients satisfaits. - Une image renforc e : Vos partenaires et clients vous feront davantage confiance, sachant que vous maîtrisez vos risques. Le moment d'agir est arriv ! Ne laissez plus les risques ralentir la croissance de votre entreprise. Chaque jour qui passe sans un dispositif de gestion des risques efficace vous expose à des pertes vitables. Prenez les devants dès aujourd'hui. Identifiez vos points faibles, s curisez vos processus, et formez vos quipes. Vous n'êtes pas seul dans cette d marche : faites appel à des experts en gestion des risques qui sauront vous guider à chaque tape. Passez à l'action MAINTENANT et transformez les risques en opportunit s ! Il en va de la p rennit et de la r ussite de votre entreprise.

by Youness El Kandoussi | 1 year ago | 0 Comment(s) | 665 Share(s) | Tags :


Introduction:Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) is a crucial aspect of the banking industry. In Morocco, the State Bank of Morocco was established in 1907 to stabilize the Moroccan currency and promote trade and development in the Sultanate. Following the independence of Morocco, it was replaced in 1959 by the newly created Bank Al-Maghrib, which is the central bank of Morocco. Bank Al-Maghrib's role includes banknotes and coins production, monetary policy tools, management of foreign exchange reserves, banks supervision, and ensuring the security of payment systems and means[3]. In this article, we will discuss the state of GRC in Moroccan banks and where Bank Al-Maghrib stands. We will also explore how RiskNucleus GRC Solution can help banks thrive in its management. The State of GRC in Moroccan Banks:Moroccan banks are subject to regulatory guidelines and industry standards set by Moroccan regulatory authorities such as the Moroccan Capital Market Authority (AMMC) and the Moroccan Financial Market Authority (CDVM) [2]. Additionally, Moroccan banks must adhere to international standards set by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, which sets global banking standards, including Basel III[1]. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) often publishes reports on the economic and financial conditions of various countries, including Morocco. These reports can offer a broader perspective on the state of Moroccan banks and their compliance with international standards[1]. Where Bank Al-Maghrib Stands:Bank Al-Maghrib plays a crucial role in ensuring GRC in Moroccan banks. As the central bank of Morocco, it is responsible for banks supervision and ensuring the security of payment systems and means[3]. Bank Al-Maghrib's role in GRC is essential in our daily lives, and it is the "bank of banks," where all commercial banks have accounts, which they are obliged to credit[3]. Bank Al-Maghrib's network is composed of two branches, Rabat and Casablanca, and 20 agencies throughout Morocco[3]. How RiskNucleus GRC Solution Can Help Banks Thrive in Its Management:RiskNucleus GRC Solution is a GRC management tool that can help Moroccan banks thrive in its management. The tool provides transparency, efficiency, and accountability, which are the three benefits of implementing a GRC management tool[4]. RiskNucleus GRC Solution can easily integrate with an existing technology stack while remaining user-friendly. The tool eliminates the worry of managing regulatory requirements and provides actionable insights to improve the GRC approach, aligning key risk initiatives such as cybersecurity processes[4]. By using RiskNucleus GRC Solution, Moroccan banks can streamline their GRC processes, reduce costs, and improve their overall compliance posture. Conclusion:In conclusion, GRC is a crucial aspect of the banking industry in Morocco. Moroccan banks must adhere to regulatory guidelines and industry standards set by Moroccan regulatory authorities and international standards set by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Bank Al-Maghrib plays a crucial role in ensuring GRC in Moroccan banks. RiskNucleus GRC Solution is a GRC management tool that can help Moroccan banks thrive in its management. By using RiskNucleus GRC Solution, Moroccan banks can streamline their GRC processes, reduce costs, and improve their overall compliance posture. Citations:[1] https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/707422/529cfcc7-1135-4551-b574-903cf011c27b/Brochure Bundled offers M3T Consulting & FLC.pptx[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_Bank_of_Morocco[3] https://www.bkam.ma/pedagogic/What-bank-al-maghrib-does/What-is-the-role-of-bank-al-maghrib[4] https://www.onetrust.com/blog/what-are-the-benefits-of-a-grc-management-tool/[5] https://www.bkam.ma[6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_Al-Maghrib[7] https://www.bkam.ma/museum/Corporate-area/The-missions-of-the-central-bank[8] https://www.linkedin.com/advice/3/what-key-features-benefits-using-grc-tool-enterprise-risk-assessment[9] https://www.bkam.ma/en[10] https://www.privacyshield.gov/ps/article?id=Morocco-U-S-Banks-and-Local-Correspondent-Banks[11] https://www.bkam.ma/pedagogic/Kid-s-corner/What-is-the-role-of-bank-al-maghrib[12] https://hyperproof.io/resource/grc-platforms-5-features-you-need/[13] https://www.bkam.ma/en/content/view/full/4550[14] https://www.fitchratings.com/research/banks/moroccan-banks-resilience-in-uncertain-operating-environment-19-07-2022[15] https://www.britannica.com/topic/Bank-Al-Maghrib[16] https://uk.indeed.com/career-advice/career-development/what-is-grc-software[17] https://www.bkam.ma/en/Systems-and-means-of-payment/Financial-markets-infrastructure-and-monitoring/Overview[18] https://www.fitchratings.com/research/banks/major-moroccan-banks-peer-review-19-07-2022[19] https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/medias/documents/ngfs_in-conversation-with-bam-hiba-zahoui.pdf[20] https://pathlock.com/governance-risk-and-compliance-grc-a-complete-guide/[21] https://www.bkam.ma/en/Monetary-policy/Strategic-framework/Presentation[22] https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/morocco-trade-financing[23] https://www.resolver.com/blog/agile-grc-solutions/[24] https://www.thebanker.com/Morocco-s-banking-sector-holds-steady-1624542662[25] https://www.logicgate.com/blog/grc-allows-you-to-play-offense-the-benefits-of-an-effective-grc-program/

by Youness El Kandoussi | 2 years ago | 0 Comment(s) | 811 Share(s) | Tags :